| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 79.2% | 95% | -16.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 80.2% | 19.7% |
| logistic | 81.8% | 18.2% |
| Michael Zheng | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1749 | 1308 |
| Surface Elo | 1749 | 1308 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 28 | 22 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Mitchell Krueger | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Trevor Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Evan Zhu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Arthur Gea | 2 - 3 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Michael Zheng | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Juan Pablo Ficovich | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Pedro Martinez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | H | Mark Lajal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | H | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Evan Zhu | 1 - 2 | Michael Zheng |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 8.40 | 11.9% | 15 Sep 09:05 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.05 | 95.2% | 15 Sep 09:05 |