| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.6% | 65% | -11.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.8% | 47.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 39.6% | 60.4% |
| logistic | 46.1% | 53.9% |
| Mitchell Krueger | Andres Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1587 | 1622 |
| Surface Elo | 1587 | 1622 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.22 | 1.29 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.22 | 0.86 |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Jenson Brooksby | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Jenson Brooksby | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Keegan Smith | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Stefan Kozlov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Mees Rottgering | 1 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Luca Staeheli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Trevor Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Nishesh Basavareddy | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Apr 2025 | Andres Andrade | 2 - 0 | Mitchell Krueger |
| 24 Feb 2025 | Andres Andrade | 1 - 2 | Mitchell Krueger |
| 22 Apr 2024 | Andres Andrade | 2 - 0 | Mitchell Krueger |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.54 | 64.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 27 Oct 06:15 |