| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.6% | 53% | -1.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.4% | 52.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 56.4% | 43.4% |
| logistic | 43.8% | 56.2% |
| Thiago Monteiro | Filip Misolic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1607 | 1669 |
| Surface Elo | 1607 | 1669 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.36 | 2.06 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.36 | 1.44 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.27 | 0.69 |
| Rest days | 4 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | H | Marco Cecchinato | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Leonardo Storck Franca | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Marco Cecchinato | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Leonardo Storck Franca | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Henrique Rocha | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Nov | H | Alan Magadan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Ryan Nijboer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Mateus Alves | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.87 | 53.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.87 | 53.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |