| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 47.9% | 52.0% |
| logistic | 50.6% | 49.4% |
| Alex De Minaur | Hubert Hurkacz | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1981 | 1986 |
| Surface Elo | 1981 | 1986 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.63 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Hubert Hurkacz | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Andrey Rublev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Andrey Rublev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Quentin Halys | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Quentin Halys | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Alex De Minaur | 0 - 1 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Karen Khachanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Karen Khachanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Arthur Gea | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Arthur Gea | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Alex De Minaur | 1 - 0 | Hubert Hurkacz |
| 03 Mar 2025 | Alex De Minaur | 2 - 0 | Hubert Hurkacz |
| 06 May 2019 | Alex De Minaur | 0 - 2 | Hubert Hurkacz |
| 23 Jul 2018 | Alex De Minaur | 2 - 1 | Hubert Hurkacz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||