| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 42.6% | no line | ✗ miss | |
| DC | Home or away | 76.8% | no line | ✗ miss | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 52.6% | no line | void | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 66.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 30.2% | 26.2% | 43.6% |
| xgboost | 45.2% | 20.9% | 33.8% |
| logistic | 38.7% | 27.5% | 33.9% |
| Fiorentina | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1613 | 1697 |
| Surface Elo | 1613 | 1697 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.70 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| Rest days | 4 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 3 W · 2 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Inter | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Inter | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Como | 1 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Como | 1 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Genoa | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Vis Pesaro 1898 | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Frosinone | 4 - 4 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Frosinone | 4 - 4 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Campobasso FC | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Ajax | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 May 2026 | Fiorentina | 1 - 1 | Atalanta |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Atalanta | 2 - 0 | Fiorentina |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Fiorentina | 1 - 0 | Atalanta |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Atalanta | 3 - 2 | Fiorentina |
| 02 Jun 2024 | Atalanta | 2 - 3 | Fiorentina |
| 17 Sep 2023 | Fiorentina | 3 - 2 | Atalanta |
| 17 Apr 2023 | Fiorentina | 1 - 1 | Atalanta |
| 02 Oct 2022 | Atalanta | 1 - 0 | Fiorentina |
| 20 Feb 2022 | Fiorentina | 1 - 0 | Atalanta |
| 11 Sep 2021 | Atalanta | 1 - 2 | Fiorentina |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||