| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.3% | 55% | -0.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 34.8% | 65.1% |
| logistic | 50.3% | 49.7% |
| Billy Harris | Murphy Cassone | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1621 | 1615 |
| Surface Elo | 1621 | 1615 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | A | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Murphy Cassone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Ugo Blanchet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Moez Echargui | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Clement Tabur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Patrick Zahraj | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Daniel Masur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Billy Harris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Billy Harris | 0 - 2 | Murphy Cassone |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.82 | 54.9% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.92 | 52.1% | 24 Sep 06:15 |