| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.4% | 48% | +15.8% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 84.6% | 78% | +6.2% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 80.1% | 66% | +14.4% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.1% | 56% | +1.6% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 54.9% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 70.6% | 20.4% | 9.0% |
| xgboost | 52.5% | 22.6% | 24.9% |
| logistic | 67.8% | 22.9% | 9.3% |
| Athletic Club | Ferrol | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1626 | 1318 |
| Surface Elo | 1626 | 1318 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.71 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.57 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 531 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | A | Merida AD | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Osasuna | 1 - 1 | D |
| 07 Nov | A | Osasuna | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Nov | H | Sociedad | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Sociedad | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Ponferradina | 0 - 0 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Mirandes | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Unionistas de Salamanca CF | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Pontevedra CF | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Lugo | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.86 | 53.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.77 | 56.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |