| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.6% | 87% | -19.4% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 67.8% | 32.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 82.3% | 17.7% |
| logistic | 57.2% | 42.8% |
| Oliver Tarvet | Mika Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1670 | 1538 |
| Surface Elo | 1670 | 1538 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.25 |
| Rest days | 21 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Vladislav Melnic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Conor Gannon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Laslo Djere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Francesco Maestrelli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Diego Dedura Palomero | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | James Beaven | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Mark Ceban | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Calvin Mueller | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Leonardo Rossi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | David Eichenseher | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.75 | 21.1% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.15 | 87.0% | 29 Oct 06:15 |