OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-19
🎾 ATP Challenger Florence, Italy Men Singles · Monday 19 October 2026, 11:30 UTC · finished
Francesco Forti 0.00 2 - 0 1.80 Jonas Forejtek
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 59.4%65%-5.3%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov45.8%54.2%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost33.2%66.7%
logistic39.5%60.5%
Inputs the models saw
Francesco FortiJonas Forejtek
Elo (pre-match)15151643
Surface Elo15151643
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.001.80
Form trend0.000.60
Season points per game1.502.40
Season goals for / game1.131.60
Season goals against / game1.130.90
Rest days64
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Francesco Forti: last 5
19 OctHOriol Roca Batalla1 - 2L
19 OctAFederico Bondioli2 - 0W
19 OctHJonas Forejtek2 - 0W
12 OctHZdenek Kolar1 - 2L
12 OctHZdenek Kolar1 - 2L
Jonas Forejtek: last 5
19 OctAFrancesco Forti0 - 2L
15 OctAMatthew William Donald0 - 2L
13 OctAMichele Mecarelli2 - 0W
11 OctHFrancesco Passaro1 - 2L
10 OctHAlejandro Moro Canas2 - 1W
Head to head
19 Oct 2026Francesco Forti2 - 0Jonas Forejtek
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.5863.3%19 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.3043.5%19 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:05 UTC