| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.6% | 57% | -5.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.3% | 49.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 55.6% | 44.4% |
| logistic | 46.1% | 53.9% |
| Carl Emil Overbeck | Kasidit Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1441 | 1534 |
| Surface Elo | 1441 | 1534 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | H | Chun Hsin Tseng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Kasidit Samrej | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Chun Hsin Tseng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Yaroslav Demin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Hugo Grenier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | James Mccabe | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Coleman Wong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Carl Emil Overbeck | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | James Mccabe | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Koki Matsuda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Carl Emil Overbeck | 0 - 2 | Kasidit Samrej |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.74 | 57.5% | 05 Nov 06:15 |