| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.6% | 69% | -8.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.3% | 43.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 72.0% | 28.0% |
| logistic | 55.8% | 44.2% |
| Alexander Ritschard | Sumit Nagal | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1738 | 1668 |
| Surface Elo | 1738 | 1668 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.33 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | H | Raul Brancaccio | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Carlos Taberner | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Andrej Martin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Svyatoslav Gulin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Marco Trungelliti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Benjamin Hassan | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Alexander Ritschard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Benjamin Hassan | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Alexander Ritschard | 2 - 0 | Sumit Nagal |
| 03 Jun 2024 | Alexander Ritschard | 1 - 2 | Sumit Nagal |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.44 | 69.4% | 23 Oct 06:15 |