| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.3% | 61% | -2.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 51.8% | 48.1% |
| logistic | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Coco Gauff | Jessica Pegula | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1945 | 1944 |
| Surface Elo | 1945 | 1944 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 32 | 27 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 5 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | H | Jessica Pegula | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Elise Mertens | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Sun, Xinran | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Camila Osorio | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Elise Mertens | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Nov | A | Coco Gauff | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Jelena Ostapenko | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Aryna Sabalenka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Emma Navarro | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Sorana Cirstea | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Coco Gauff | 2 - 1 | Jessica Pegula |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Coco Gauff | 2 - 0 | Jessica Pegula |
| 29 Jun 2026 | Coco Gauff | 2 - 1 | Jessica Pegula |
| 02 Nov 2025 | Coco Gauff | 1 - 2 | Jessica Pegula |
| 06 Oct 2025 | Coco Gauff | 2 - 0 | Jessica Pegula |
| 06 Nov 2024 | Coco Gauff | 2 - 0 | Jessica Pegula |
| 17 Jun 2024 | Coco Gauff | 0 - 2 | Jessica Pegula |
| 05 Nov 2023 | Coco Gauff | 0 - 2 | Jessica Pegula |
| 07 Aug 2023 | Coco Gauff | 1 - 2 | Jessica Pegula |
| 26 Jun 2023 | Coco Gauff | 2 - 0 | Jessica Pegula |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.65 | 60.6% | 08 Nov 06:15 |