| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 70.5% | 68% | +2.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.2% | 61.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 26.0% | 73.9% |
| logistic | 34.1% | 65.9% |
| Pedro Martinez | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1673 | 1834 |
| Surface Elo | 1673 | 1834 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Matej Dodig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Laslo Djere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Daniel Rincon | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | August Holmgren | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Francesco Passaro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Tristan Boyer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Lukas Neumayer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Pedro Martinez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Elmer Moller | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Matej Dodig | 2 - 0 | Pedro Martinez |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.51 | 66.2% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 14 Oct 06:15 |