OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-25

NFL · Sunday 25 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished

Minnesota Vikings – 16 - 10 – Indianapolis Colts

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	78.7%	74%	+4.6%	✓ hit

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	78.7%	21.3%

Inputs the models saw

	Minnesota Vikings	Indianapolis Colts
playoff	0.00
elo diff	0.32
form diff	0.75
rest diff	1.00
home field	1.00
point diff	0.96
opponent strength diff	-0.05
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-24T17:00:00+00:00

Minnesota Vikings: last 5

11 Oct	A	New Orleans Saints	23 - 13	W
04 Oct	H	Miami Dolphins	15 - 10	W
27 Sep	A	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	23 - 16	W
20 Sep	A	Chicago Bears	9 - 3	W
13 Sep	H	Green Bay Packers	39 - 22	W

Indianapolis Colts: last 5

18 Oct	H	Tennessee Titans	20 - 26	L
11 Oct	A	Pittsburgh Steelers	22 - 34	L
04 Oct	A	Washington Commanders	30 - 13	W
27 Sep	H	Houston Texans	19 - 17	W
21 Sep	A	Kansas City Chiefs	30 - 33	L

Head to head

04 Nov 2024	Minnesota Vikings	21 - 13	Indianapolis Colts
17 Dec 2022	Minnesota Vikings	39 - 36	Indianapolis Colts
20 Sep 2020	Indianapolis Colts	28 - 11	Minnesota Vikings
18 Dec 2016	Minnesota Vikings	6 - 34	Indianapolis Colts
16 Sep 2012	Indianapolis Colts	23 - 20	Minnesota Vikings
14 Sep 2008	Minnesota Vikings	15 - 18	Indianapolis Colts
08 Nov 2004	Indianapolis Colts	31 - 28	Minnesota Vikings
24 Dec 2000	Indianapolis Colts	31 - 10	Minnesota Vikings

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	1.32	75.8%	25 Oct 14:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	3.67	27.2%	25 Oct 14:20

Generated 2026-10-30 15:55 UTC