| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 76.9% | 45% | +31.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 97.3% | 77% | +20.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 97.5% | 64% | +33.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 49% | +7.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 82.9% | 11.3% | 5.7% |
| xgboost | 71.3% | 20.1% | 8.5% |
| logistic | 80.6% | 16.7% | 2.7% |
| Inter | Foggia | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1919 | 1458 |
| Surface Elo | 1919 | 1458 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2689 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Roma | 2 - 2 | D |
| 14 Sep | H | Udinese | 5 - 3 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Napoli | 3 - 2 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Cagliari | 1 - 0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Monza | 4 - 1 | W |
| 11 May | A | Verona | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 May | H | Perugia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 01 May | H | Salernitana | 3 - 1 | W |
| 28 Apr | A | Cremonese | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Apr | H | Livorno | 2 - 2 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.71 | 58.5% | 20 Sep 06:15 |