| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.2% | 67% | -7.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.4% | 61.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 42.4% | 57.6% |
| logistic | 40.2% | 59.8% |
| Sho Shimabukuro | Miomir Kecmanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1598 | 1699 |
| Surface Elo | 1598 | 1699 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 07 Oct | A | Miomir Kecmanovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Denis Shapovalov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Denis Shapovalov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Hugo Gaston | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Hugo Gaston | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Sho Shimabukuro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Adrian Mannarino | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Denis Shapovalov | 1 - 3 | L |
| 07 Oct 2026 | Miomir Kecmanovic | 2 - 0 | Sho Shimabukuro |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Miomir Kecmanovic | 2 - 0 | Sho Shimabukuro |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Miomir Kecmanovic | 2 - 1 | Sho Shimabukuro |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.50 | 66.7% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 06 Oct 06:15 |