| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.5% | 44% | +3.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.9% | 77% | -1.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.9% | 61% | -1.6% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.3% | 56% | -3.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 40.4% | 26.6% | 33.0% |
| xgboost | 34.5% | 28.6% | 36.9% |
| logistic | 37.1% | 28.2% | 34.7% |
| Dunkerque | Annecy | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1406 | 1486 |
| Surface Elo | 1406 | 1486 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 20 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 4 W · 1 D |
| 18 Sep | A | Pau FC | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | St Etienne | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Sep | H | Clermont | 1 - 1 | D |
| 28 Aug | A | Nancy | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | Montpellier | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Dijon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Guingamp | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Sep | A | Grenoble | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Metz | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Aug | A | Reims | 1 - 3 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Dunkerque | 0 - 1 | Annecy |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Annecy | 2 - 2 | Dunkerque |
| 27 Jan 2025 | Annecy | 0 - 2 | Dunkerque |
| 16 Aug 2024 | Dunkerque | 0 - 2 | Annecy |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Dunkerque | 0 - 2 | Annecy |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Annecy | 3 - 0 | Dunkerque |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.77 | 56.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |