| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.0% | 51% | +5.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 45.5% | 38.9% |
| xgboost | 86.6% | 12.5% |
| logistic | 49.2% | 50.8% |
| Buffalo Sabres | Minnesota Wild | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1595 | 1578 |
| Surface Elo | 1595 | 1578 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 4.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | H | Chicago Blackhawks | 4 - 3 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Columbus Blue Jackets | 3 - 6 | L |
| 18 May | H | Montréal Canadiens | 2 - 3 | L |
| 17 May | A | Montréal Canadiens | 8 - 3 | W |
| 14 May | H | Montréal Canadiens | 3 - 6 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Boston Bruins | 4 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Nashville Predators | 3 - 1 | W |
| 14 May | A | Colorado Avalanche | 3 - 4 | L |
| 12 May | H | Colorado Avalanche | 2 - 5 | L |
| 10 May | H | Colorado Avalanche | 5 - 1 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Buffalo Sabres | 4 - 5 | Minnesota Wild |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Minnesota Wild | 2 - 3 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 22 Mar 2025 | Minnesota Wild | 4 - 1 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 28 Nov 2024 | Buffalo Sabres | 0 - 1 | Minnesota Wild |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.98 | 50.5% | 06 Oct 21:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.93 | 51.8% | 06 Oct 21:20 |