| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.1% | 53% | +5.5% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 80.8% | 79% | +1.8% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 74.5% | 70% | +4.3% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.2% | 44% | +9.8% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 53.3% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 51.8% | 24.5% | 23.7% |
| xgboost | 60.8% | 22.4% | 16.8% |
| logistic | 60.9% | 23.4% | 15.7% |
| Stockport | Reading | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1580 | 1514 |
| Surface Elo | 1580 | 1514 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.13 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.89 |
| Rest days | 14 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 10 Nov | H | Tranmere | 0 - 0 | D |
| 08 Nov | A | Cray Wanderers | 2 - 2 | D |
| 03 Nov | A | Charlton | 2 - 6 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | AFC Wimbledon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | AFC Wimbledon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Nov | A | Bristol Rovers | 2 - 2 | D |
| 07 Nov | A | Peterborough United | 5 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Oxford | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Oxford Utd | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Oxford | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Jan 2026 | Reading | 1 - 0 | Stockport |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Stockport | 1 - 1 | Reading |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Reading | 1 - 3 | Stockport |
| 29 Oct 2024 | Stockport | 4 - 1 | Reading |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.80 | 26.3% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.90 | 52.6% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.63 | 61.4% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 12 Nov 06:15 |