OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-22
🎾 ATP Challenger Buenos Aires II, ARG Men Singles · Tuesday 22 September 2026, 13:00 UTC · finished
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 0.60 1 - 2 1.80 Hugo Dellien
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 66.1%66%-0.3%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov54.1%45.9%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost14.1%85.8%
logistic39.7%60.3%
Inputs the models saw
Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaHugo Dellien
Elo (pre-match)16101720
Surface Elo16101720
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.601.80
Form trend0.300.60
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days2115
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W3 W · 0 D
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida: last 5
21 SepAHugo Dellien1 - 2L
01 SepAJay Friend0 - 2L
24 AugHOliver Tarvet0 - 2L
17 AugHOliver Tarvet1 - 2L
17 AugHPeter Makk2 - 0W
Hugo Dellien: last 5
21 SepHNicolas Kicker1 - 2L
21 SepHMatheus Pucinelli De Almeida2 - 1W
07 SepHMatej Dodig0 - 1L
07 SepAFelipe Meligeni Alves2 - 0W
31 AugAFacundo Mena0 - 2L
Head to head
21 Sep 2026Hugo Dellien2 - 1Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
19 Jan 2026Hugo Dellien2 - 1Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
07 Jul 2025Hugo Dellien2 - 1Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
03 Jun 2024Hugo Dellien0 - 1Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
29 Nov 2021Hugo Dellien2 - 0Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.5365.4%22 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.4041.7%22 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:24 UTC