| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.4% | 76% | -10.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 73.2% | 26.7% |
| logistic | 60.9% | 39.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Francesco Maestrelli | Peter Makk | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1615 | 1530 |
| Surface Elo | 1615 | 1530 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.64 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.18 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Francesco Forti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Gabriel Diallo | 1 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Moez Echargui | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Filippo Romano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Tiago Pereira | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Bavaro, Marco | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Ioannis Kountourakis | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Perego, G | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.32 | 75.8% | 05 Nov 06:15 |