| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 77.6% | 71% | +6.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 73.0% | 27.0% |
| logistic | 73.8% | 26.2% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Calvin Hemery | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1584 | 1464 |
| Surface Elo | 1584 | 1464 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.29 | 0.86 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 0.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| Rest days | 5 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | A | Philip Henning | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Robin Catry | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Adrien Gobat | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Raul Brancaccio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Raul Brancaccio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Daniel Masur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Gijs Brouwer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Tom Paris | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.41 | 70.9% | 08 Nov 06:15 |