| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.3% | 54% | -0.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.6% | 44.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| logistic | 50.4% | 49.6% |
| Francesco Forti | Oriol Roca Batalla | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1551 | 1532 |
| Surface Elo | 1551 | 1532 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.30 | 1.22 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.90 | 0.89 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | A | Federico Bondioli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Jonas Forejtek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Oriol Roca Batalla | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Federico Bondioli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Jonas Forejtek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Dimitris Sakellaridis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Radu Mihai Papoe | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Michele Ribecai | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Francesco Forti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Dimitris Sakellaridis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Francesco Forti | 1 - 2 | Oriol Roca Batalla |
| 12 Jun 2023 | Francesco Forti | 0 - 2 | Oriol Roca Batalla |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.89 | 52.9% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.85 | 54.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |