| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.9% | 76% | -20.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.9% | 94% | -15.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 70.8% | 92% | -20.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.7% | 69% | -4.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 61.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.8% | 26.5% | 28.7% |
| xgboost | 56.6% | 23.5% | 19.9% |
| logistic | 62.8% | 22.4% | 14.8% |
| Huddersfield | Rochdale | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1554 | 1578 |
| Surface Elo | 1554 | 1578 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.80 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Burton | 3 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Burton | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Bromley | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Bromley | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Mansfield | 0 - 0 | D |
| 03 Oct | H | Swindon | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Swindon | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Fleetwood Town | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Fleetwood Town | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Liverpool | 3 - 3 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.70 | 13.0% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.50 | 18.2% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.32 | 75.8% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.43 | 69.9% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.75 | 36.4% | 06 Oct 06:15 |