| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.9% | 70% | -11.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.3% | 53.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 37.6% | 62.4% |
| logistic | 40.3% | 59.7% |
| Henry Searle | Massimo Giunta | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1454 | 1555 |
| Surface Elo | 1454 | 1555 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Massimo Giunta | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Dylan Dietrich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Liam Draxl | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Evan Zhu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Timo Legout | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Maxim Zhukov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Gianluca Cadenasso | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Max Wiskandt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Pavel Lagutin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Henry Searle | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 1 | Henry Searle |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.47 | 68.0% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.60 | 38.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |