| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.0% | 62% | -0.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 42.8% | 57.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 46.2% | 53.7% |
| logistic | 35.1% | 64.9% |
| Francisco Comesana | Thiago Seyboth Wild | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1634 | 1785 |
| Surface Elo | 1634 | 1785 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 2.63 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 0.25 |
| Rest days | 3 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 16 Oct | H | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Nick Hardt | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Nicolas Kicker | 1 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Carlos Maria Zarate | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Mateus Alves | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Hugo Dellien | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Francisco Comesana | 1 - 2 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.62 | 61.7% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |