| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.8% | 39% | +12.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.2% | 81% | -5.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 67.2% | 52% | +15.3% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 66% | -9.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.6% | 23.7% | 31.7% |
| xgboost | 44.8% | 28.3% | 26.8% |
| logistic | 51.3% | 24.7% | 23.9% |
| Boston Utd | Fylde | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1455 | 1404 |
| Surface Elo | 1455 | 1404 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.22 | 1.89 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.44 | 2.22 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Forest Green | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Forest Green | 3 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Woking | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Wealdstone | 1 - 3 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Tamworth | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Altrincham | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Altrincham | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Harrogate | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Yeovil | 4 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Worthing | 2 - 2 | D |
| 18 Feb 2025 | Fylde | 1 - 2 | Boston Utd |
| 23 Oct 2024 | Boston Utd | 1 - 2 | Fylde |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.48 | 67.6% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.60 | 38.5% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.52 | 65.8% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 26 Sep 06:15 |