| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.5% | 77% | -9.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 27.9% | 72.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 25.9% | 74.1% |
| logistic | 36.9% | 63.1% |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Mirra Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1705 | 1877 |
| Surface Elo | 1705 | 1877 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.33 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | A | Linda Noskova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Diana Shnaider | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Mirra Andreeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Linda Noskova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Daria Snigur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Polina Kudermetova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Yue Yuan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Qinwen Zheng | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Nikola Bartunkova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 0 - 2 | Mirra Andreeva |
| 21 Jun 2026 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2 - 0 | Mirra Andreeva |
| 14 Apr 2025 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2 - 0 | Mirra Andreeva |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.30 | 76.9% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.70 | 27.0% | 08 Oct 06:15 |