| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.5% | 70% | -5.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.5% | 56.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 27.0% | 72.9% |
| logistic | 47.3% | 52.7% |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Ugo Humbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1796 | 1780 |
| Surface Elo | 1796 | 1780 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.64 | 0.86 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.36 | 1.14 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.09 | 1.57 |
| Rest days | 8 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Learner Tien | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Lorenzo Sonego | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Grigor Dimitrov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Lorenzo Sonego | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Tommy Paul | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Matteo Berrettini | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Matteo Berrettini | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Novak Djokovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.42 | 70.4% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 09 Nov 06:15 |