OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-12
⚽ La Liga 2 · Monday 12 October 2026, 12:00 UTC · finished
Valladolid 1.60 5 - 0 0.20 Albacete
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 46.1%51%-5.3%✓ hit
DCHome or away 73.7%77%-3.5%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 59.6%71%-11.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 54.3%54%+0.2%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 51.0%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson41.8%27.9%30.3%
xgboost39.8%30.2%30.0%
logistic37.2%29.6%33.2%
Inputs the models saw
ValladolidAlbacete
Elo (pre-match)14011413
Surface Elo14011413
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.600.20
Form trend0.100.10
Season points per game1.130.13
Season goals for / game1.000.63
Season goals against / game1.381.88
Rest days79
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W4 W · 1 D
Valladolid: last 5
04 OctALas Palmas2 - 2D
04 OctALas Palmas2 - 2D
27 SepHCordoba3 - 1W
27 SepHCordoba3 - 1W
20 SepACeuta1 - 1D
Albacete: last 5
06 OctACF Talavera de La Reina0 - 1L
03 OctHCF Talavera de La Reina0 - 4L
03 OctHEibar1 - 3L
03 OctHEibar1 - 3L
27 SepHCD Atletico Paso2 - 2D
Head to head
24 Jan 2026Valladolid0 - 1Albacete
21 Sep 2025Albacete2 - 0Valladolid
12 Feb 2024Valladolid0 - 0Albacete
01 Sep 2023Albacete2 - 0Valladolid
12 May 2018Valladolid3 - 2Albacete
09 Dec 2017Albacete2 - 1Valladolid
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.3323.1%12 Oct 13:00
Bet3651X2draw3.3030.3%12 Oct 13:00
Bet3651X2home1.8155.2%12 Oct 13:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.0050.0%12 Oct 13:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.8055.6%12 Oct 13:00
SportyBet1X2away3.7526.7%12 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4029.4%12 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.0050.0%12 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.9152.4%12 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8653.8%12 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:20 UTC