| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 50.5% | 29% | +21.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 76.5% | 54% | +23.0% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 66.7% | 38% | +28.9% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% | 74% | -2.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 67.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 21.2% | 25.6% | 53.2% |
| xgboost | 29.2% | 26.1% | 44.7% |
| logistic | 25.9% | 28.7% | 45.4% |
| Walsall | Fulham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1446 | 1651 |
| Surface Elo | 1446 | 1651 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Tranmere | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Tranmere | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Sep | H | Stevenage | 1 - 6 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Ipswich Town U21 | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Ipswich | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Hornchurch | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Sep | A | Leicester | 1 - 6 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Manchester United | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.35 | 74.1% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.10 | 32.3% | 13 Oct 06:15 |