OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ League One · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
AFC Wimbledon 0.40 1 - 1 1.60 Wycombe
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 46.9%54%-7.3%✗ miss
DCHome or away 75.6%80%-4.2%✗ miss
DNBAway (DNB) 60.3%72%-11.9%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 54.6%56%-0.9%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 53.0%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson26.6%25.3%48.1%
xgboost32.6%25.8%41.6%
logistic30.3%29.0%40.7%
Inputs the models saw
AFC WimbledonWycombe
Elo (pre-match)14111507
Surface Elo14111507
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.401.60
Form trend0.300.20
Season points per game1.091.27
Season goals for / game0.641.64
Season goals against / game1.642.00
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W1 W · 3 D
AFC Wimbledon: last 5
20 OctHMansfield0 - 3L
20 OctHMansfield0 - 3L
17 OctASheffield Weds0 - 5L
17 OctASheffield Weds0 - 5L
10 OctAPlymouth1 - 2L
Wycombe: last 5
20 OctACambridge2 - 2D
20 OctACambridge2 - 2D
20 OctAWatford1 - 2L
17 OctHNotts County2 - 0W
17 OctHNotts County2 - 0W
Head to head
04 Jan 2026Wycombe2 - 0AFC Wimbledon
27 Sep 2025AFC Wimbledon2 - 1Wycombe
18 Apr 2022AFC Wimbledon1 - 1Wycombe
11 Dec 2021Wycombe2 - 2AFC Wimbledon
31 Aug 2019AFC Wimbledon0 - 0Wycombe
27 Apr 2019AFC Wimbledon2 - 1Wycombe
22 Dec 2018Wycombe1 - 2AFC Wimbledon
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.7656.8%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.8026.3%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home3.9025.6%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7357.8%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0848.1%24 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away1.8853.2%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.8026.3%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home4.0025.0%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8055.6%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9850.5%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:57 UTC