| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.3% | 78% | -26.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.1% | 56.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 48.9% | 51.0% |
| logistic | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| Imanol Lopez Morillo | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1551 | 1534 |
| Surface Elo | 1551 | 1534 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Adrian Oetzbach | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Martin Krumich | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Duje Ajdukovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Filip Misolic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jun | H | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Matthew William Donald | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Pierluigi Basile | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Imanol Lopez Morillo | 1 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Tom Gentzsch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Tom Gentzsch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Imanol Lopez Morillo | 0 - 1 | Martin Krumich |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.29 | 77.5% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.40 | 29.4% | 29 Sep 06:15 |