| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.9% | 54% | +2.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 58.6% | 41.4% |
| logistic | 55.9% | 44.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Alicia Dudeney | Susan Bandecchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1560 | 1489 |
| Surface Elo | 1560 | 1489 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.83 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.17 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Oct | H | Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Leonard, M | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Okutoyi, Angella | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Marie Weckerle | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Ayla Aksu | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Elena Malygina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Maduzzi, Gaia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Nilsson, Lea | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Oceane Dodin | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.86 | 53.8% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.84 | 54.4% | 22 Oct 06:15 |