| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.0% | 59% | -6.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| logistic | 54.4% | 45.6% |
| Kaitlin Quevedo | Nadia Podoroska | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1481 | 1442 |
| Surface Elo | 1481 | 1442 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 22 | 22 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Nadia Podoroska | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Anna Blinkova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Teodora Kostovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Anna Blinkova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Kaitlin Quevedo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Paula Badosa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Suzan Lamens | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Eva Lys | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Lucrezia Stefanini | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Kaitlin Quevedo | 2 - 1 | Nadia Podoroska |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.77 | 56.5% | 21 Sep 06:15 |