OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Championship · Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Middlesbrough 1.80 1 - 0 2.00 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 50.0%46%+4.0%✓ hit
DCHome or away 75.3%79%-3.8%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 63.8%62%+2.3%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.2%61%-3.2%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 58.1%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson40.3%23.7%36.0%
xgboost39.1%32.3%28.5%
logistic49.9%25.5%24.6%
Inputs the models saw
MiddlesbroughWolverhampton Wanderers
Elo (pre-match)16251598
Surface Elo16251598
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.802.00
Form trend0.20-0.30
Season points per game1.882.00
Season goals for / game2.002.14
Season goals against / game1.501.43
Rest days2120
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W2 W · 0 D
Middlesbrough: last 5
19 SepABirmingham2 - 2D
19 SepABirmingham2 - 2D
15 SepHMillwall2 - 2D
12 SepHNorwich4 - 3W
05 SepAQPR1 - 0W
Wolverhampton Wanderers: last 5
20 SepHWest Brom1 - 0W
20 SepHWest Brom1 - 0W
13 SepASheffield Utd1 - 0W
06 SepABirmingham2 - 2D
01 SepAWest Ham2 - 4L
Head to head
30 Mar 2018Middlesbrough1 - 2Wolverhampton Wanderers
05 Aug 2017Wolverhampton Wanderers1 - 0Middlesbrough
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.3030.3%10 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.7526.7%10 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home2.0149.8%10 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6261.7%10 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.3043.5%10 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away3.2131.1%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7826.5%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.2045.5%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6461.0%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3043.5%10 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:06 UTC