OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ Scottish Premiership · Saturday 07 November 2026, 17:45 UTC · finished
Aberdeen 0.80 0 - 4 0.40 Hibernian
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 37.9%40%-2.5%✗ miss
DCHome or away 72.5%77%-4.3%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 51.3%56%-4.5%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 51.9%51%+1.1%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 50.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson34.8%27.2%38.0%
xgboost37.0%31.8%31.2%
logistic34.5%28.5%36.9%
Inputs the models saw
AberdeenHibernian
Elo (pre-match)15631631
Surface Elo15631631
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.800.40
Form trend0.200.00
Season points per game1.000.73
Season goals for / game1.091.00
Season goals against / game1.271.55
Rest days99
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W4 W · 3 D
Aberdeen: last 5
03 NovHQueens Park1 - 1D
31 OctARangers0 - 1L
28 OctHFalkirk0 - 1L
28 OctHFalkirk0 - 1L
24 OctADundee United2 - 3L
Hibernian: last 5
01 NovAHeart of Midlothian FC2 - 1W
28 OctASt Mirren1 - 1D
28 OctASt Mirren1 - 1D
25 OctHCeltic1 - 2L
25 OctHCeltic1 - 2L
Head to head
19 Sep 2026Hibernian1 - 1Aberdeen
19 Sep 2026Hibernian1 - 1Aberdeen
11 Apr 2026Aberdeen2 - 0Hibernian
30 Dec 2025Hibernian2 - 0Aberdeen
26 Oct 2025Aberdeen1 - 2Hibernian
26 Apr 2025Aberdeen1 - 0Hibernian
01 Feb 2025Hibernian2 - 0Aberdeen
21 Dec 2024Aberdeen1 - 3Hibernian
26 Nov 2024Hibernian3 - 3Aberdeen
12 May 2024Hibernian0 - 4Aberdeen
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.5539.2%07 Nov 17:45
Bet3651X2draw3.3030.3%07 Nov 17:45
Bet3651X2home2.5738.9%07 Nov 17:45
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.9351.8%07 Nov 17:45
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.9351.8%07 Nov 17:45
SportyBet1X2away2.8635.0%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4529.0%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.5040.0%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8753.5%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9451.5%07 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:04 UTC