| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.1% | 49% | +8.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 58.3% | 41.6% |
| logistic | 55.7% | 44.3% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Polina Iatcenko | Dalma Galfi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1546 | 1488 |
| Surface Elo | 1546 | 1488 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Suzan Lamens | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Erika Andreeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Teodora Kostovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Zaytseva, Ksenia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Weronika Falkowska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Julia Grabher | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Teodora Kostovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Elena Micic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Alice Tubello | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Pia Lovric | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.72 | 58.1% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 07 Oct 06:15 |