| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.7% | 31% | +16.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.0% | 84% | -8.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.1% | 40% | +20.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.7% | 67% | -12.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 35.7% | 26.4% | 37.9% |
| xgboost | 35.6% | 29.5% | 34.9% |
| logistic | 41.7% | 26.8% | 31.5% |
| Millwall | West Ham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1625 | 1675 |
| Surface Elo | 1625 | 1675 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 20 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 19 Sep | H | West Ham | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | West Ham | 2 - 2 | D |
| 15 Sep | A | Middlesbrough | 2 - 2 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Blackburn | 1 - 3 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Bolton | 4 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Millwall | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Millwall | 2 - 2 | D |
| 11 Sep | H | Wrexham | 6 - 0 | W |
| 08 Sep | A | Bolton | 3 - 2 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Derby | 3 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Millwall | 2 - 2 | West Ham |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Millwall | 2 - 2 | West Ham |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.88 | 53.2% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.25 | 30.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.50 | 66.7% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |