OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ Belgian Pro League · Saturday 07 November 2026, 17:15 UTC · finished
Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.80 2 - 0 2.00 Mechelen
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 42.2%45%-3.2%✓ hit
DCHome or away 73.3%80%-6.9%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 57.0%63%-5.7%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 48.9%50%-1.1%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 54.1%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson37.7%27.7%34.6%
xgboost41.8%27.5%30.7%
logistic41.3%29.5%29.2%
Inputs the models saw
Oud-Heverlee LeuvenMechelen
Elo (pre-match)14711536
Surface Elo14711536
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.802.00
Form trend-0.20-0.80
Season points per game0.901.20
Season goals for / game1.001.30
Season goals against / game1.701.80
Rest days62
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W4 W · 3 D
Oud-Heverlee Leuven: last 5
01 NovASt. Truidense VV2 - 1W
01 NovASt Truiden2 - 1W
01 NovHCercle Brugge3 - 3D
24 OctHLommel SK2 - 2D
24 OctHLommel SK2 - 2D
Mechelen: last 5
04 NovAKortrijk3 - 1W
31 OctHGenk1 - 0W
11 OctHSt Truiden4 - 3W
19 SepALommel SK0 - 0D
11 SepHAnderlecht0 - 1L
Head to head
01 Feb 2026Oud-Heverlee Leuven2 - 2Mechelen
25 Oct 2025Mechelen1 - 1Oud-Heverlee Leuven
03 May 2025Oud-Heverlee Leuven1 - 2Mechelen
13 Apr 2025Mechelen1 - 1Oud-Heverlee Leuven
31 Jan 2025Oud-Heverlee Leuven1 - 0Mechelen
05 Oct 2024Mechelen5 - 0Oud-Heverlee Leuven
27 Apr 2024Mechelen3 - 0Oud-Heverlee Leuven
30 Mar 2024Oud-Heverlee Leuven2 - 3Mechelen
17 Mar 2024Oud-Heverlee Leuven1 - 0Mechelen
23 Sep 2023Mechelen1 - 2Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.8834.7%07 Nov 17:15
Bet3651X2draw3.3030.3%07 Nov 17:15
Bet3651X2home2.2045.5%07 Nov 17:15
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7357.8%07 Nov 17:15
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0848.1%07 Nov 17:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:03 UTC