| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 84.2% | 93% | -9.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 74.0% | 26.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 95.1% | 4.9% |
| logistic | 93.8% | 6.2% |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Franco Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1855 | 1551 |
| Surface Elo | 1855 | 1551 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.73 | 1.13 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.73 | 1.13 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.27 | 1.63 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Franco Roncadelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Rafael Tosetto | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Rafael Tosetto | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Valerio Aboian | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Valerio Aboian | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Franco Roncadelli | 0 - 2 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.40 | 13.5% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.07 | 93.5% | 05 Nov 06:15 |