| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 68.8% | 38% | +31.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 90.5% | 69% | +21.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 88.3% | 53% | +35.2% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.4% | 57% | -4.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 13.0% | 19.1% | 68.0% |
| xgboost | 12.4% | 21.0% | 66.6% |
| logistic | 0.9% | 3.5% | 95.6% |
| Feirense | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1326 | 1855 |
| Surface Elo | 1326 | 1855 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.70 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2716 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 11 Oct | A | Farense | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | SC Salgueiros | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 May | H | Aves | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 May | A | Santa Clara | 4 - 4 | D |
| 04 May | H | Chaves | 4 - 4 | D |
| 22 Oct | A | AC Omonia Nicosia | 4 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Celtic | 4 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | FC Felgueiras 1932 | 1 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Guimaraes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Guimaraes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Apr 2019 | Feirense | 1 - 4 | Benfica |
| 01 Dec 2018 | Benfica | 4 - 0 | Feirense |
| 17 Mar 2018 | Feirense | 0 - 2 | Benfica |
| 27 Oct 2017 | Benfica | 1 - 0 | Feirense |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.60 | 38.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.00 | 50.0% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.79 | 55.9% | 24 Oct 06:15 |