| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 41.5% | 50% | -8.5% | |
| DC | Home or away | 72.4% | 77% | -4.3% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 56.8% | 69% | -12.4% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.0% | 58% | -3.8% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.9% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.9% | 30.1% | 30.0% |
| xgboost | 44.0% | 27.1% | 28.9% |
| logistic | 35.2% | 29.1% | 35.7% |
| Port Vale | Accrington | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1443 | 1417 |
| Surface Elo | 1443 | 1417 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 1.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.17 | 1.63 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.17 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 2 D |
| 07 Nov | H | Scunthorpe | 4 - 2 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Rochdale | 4 - 2 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Rochdale | 4 - 2 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Manchester City | 5 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | York | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov | A | Sheffield Weds | 4 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Wycombe Wanderers | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Northampton | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Northampton | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Rochdale | 5 - 0 | W |
| 01 Feb 2025 | Port Vale | 2 - 1 | Accrington |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Accrington | 2 - 2 | Port Vale |
| 07 Apr 2023 | Accrington | 3 - 0 | Port Vale |
| 07 Feb 2023 | Port Vale | 1 - 1 | Accrington |
| 20 Jan 2018 | Accrington | 3 - 2 | Port Vale |
| 26 Sep 2017 | Port Vale | 1 - 2 | Accrington |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.75 | 26.7% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.73 | 57.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |