OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-28
⚽ Serie B · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 18:00 UTC · finished
Pisa 1.60 3 - 3 2.60 Palermo
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 43.1%43%+0.4%✗ miss
DCHome or away 77.1%78%-0.6%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 53.1%59%-6.0%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.2%58%-1.3%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 58.1%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson39.2%27.5%33.4%
xgboost44.5%18.4%37.1%
logistic32.3%27.8%39.9%
Inputs the models saw
PisaPalermo
Elo (pre-match)14651634
Surface Elo14651634
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.602.60
Form trend-0.40-0.40
Season points per game1.752.75
Season goals for / game1.882.25
Season goals against / game1.251.00
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W1 W · 2 D
Pisa: last 5
25 OctAVerona1 - 1D
25 OctAVerona1 - 1D
17 OctHCremonese3 - 1W
17 OctHCremonese3 - 1W
17 OctHAscoli4 - 1W
Palermo: last 5
25 OctHCarrarese2 - 1W
25 OctHCarrarese2 - 1W
24 OctASalernitana2 - 1W
17 OctAMantova2 - 0W
17 OctAMantova2 - 0W
Head to head
31 Jan 2025Palermo1 - 2Pisa
24 Aug 2024Pisa2 - 0Palermo
01 Apr 2024Pisa4 - 3Palermo
16 Dec 2023Palermo3 - 2Pisa
04 Mar 2023Pisa1 - 1Palermo
15 Oct 2022Palermo3 - 3Pisa
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.2031.2%28 Oct 18:00
Bet3651X2draw3.3030.3%28 Oct 18:00
Bet3651X2home2.1047.6%28 Oct 18:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7557.1%28 Oct 18:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0548.8%28 Oct 18:00
SportyBet1X2away2.8535.1%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.3330.0%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.4540.8%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7258.1%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.1047.6%28 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:56 UTC