OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-03
⚽ England National League · Saturday 03 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Eastleigh 1.00 1 - 3 1.60 Woking
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 45.4%44%+0.9%✓ hit
DCHome or away 73.1%80%-6.4%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 59.6%60%-0.4%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 56.1%60%-3.8%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 56.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson32.9%27.4%39.7%
xgboost34.3%26.2%39.5%
logistic32.4%28.9%38.7%
Inputs the models saw
EastleighWoking
Elo (pre-match)14091439
Surface Elo14091439
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.001.60
Form trend0.000.40
Season points per game1.331.33
Season goals for / game1.002.33
Season goals against / game1.672.00
Rest days23
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W2 W · 4 D
Eastleigh: last 5
30 SepHSouthend1 - 1D
30 SepHSouthend1 - 1D
26 SepAHarrogate1 - 4L
26 SepAHarrogate1 - 4L
19 SepHCarlisle1 - 0W
Woking: last 5
29 SepHSolihull2 - 4L
29 SepHSolihull2 - 4L
26 SepACarlisle5 - 2W
26 SepACarlisle5 - 2W
19 SepHKidderminster0 - 0D
Head to head
03 Apr 2026Woking3 - 3Eastleigh
26 Dec 2025Eastleigh1 - 1Woking
26 Apr 2025Woking2 - 2Eastleigh
24 Sep 2024Eastleigh2 - 2Woking
29 Mar 2024Woking0 - 1Eastleigh
24 Oct 2023Eastleigh0 - 1Woking
04 Feb 2023Eastleigh1 - 0Woking
29 Oct 2022Woking1 - 0Eastleigh
07 May 2022Woking1 - 2Eastleigh
25 Sep 2021Eastleigh3 - 2Woking
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.2544.4%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.8535.1%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6660.2%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.1546.5%02 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:04 UTC