| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.2% | 61% | -3.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.4% | 53.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 60.6% | 39.3% |
| logistic | 57.3% | 42.7% |
| Mona Barthel | Lucia Bronzetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1395 | 1439 |
| Surface Elo | 1395 | 1439 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 22 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Sep | H | de Stefano, Samira | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Basiletti, Noemi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Mia Ristic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Francesca Jones | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Zelnickova, Radka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Fiona Crawley | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Lois Boisson | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 May | H | Marie Bouzkova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 May | H | Mccartney Kessler | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Feb | A | Anastasia Potapova | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.67 | 59.9% | 12 Oct 06:15 |