| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.3% | 73% | -7.7% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 88.1% | 90% | -2.3% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 84.5% | 88% | -3.3% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.9% | 67% | -1.8% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 62.4% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 62.1% | 21.3% | 16.6% |
| xgboost | 74.7% | 16.0% | 9.3% |
| logistic | 71.0% | 19.5% | 9.5% |
| Betis | Malaga | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1750 | 1531 |
| Surface Elo | 1750 | 1531 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.25 | 0.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Celta | 0 - 0 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Celta | 0 - 0 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | UD Tomares | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Feyenoord | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Chiclana CF | 2 - 2 | D |
| 27 Oct | A | Sporting de Alcazar CF | 3 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Alaves | 1 - 1 | D |
| 23 Oct | A | Alaves | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Sociedad | 2 - 5 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Sociedad | 2 - 5 | L |
| 30 Apr 2018 | Betis | 2 - 1 | Malaga |
| 18 Dec 2017 | Malaga | 0 - 2 | Betis |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 8.58 | 11.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.92 | 16.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.36 | 73.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.50 | 66.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.65 | 37.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |