OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ Spain LaLiga · Saturday 10 October 2026, 12:00 UTC · abandoned
Vallecano 1.40 12:00 1.60 Athletic Club
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 46.8%36%+10.7%abandoned
DCHome or away 74.0%74%+0.4%abandoned
DNBHome (DNB) 59.2%50%+9.0%abandoned
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.1%53%+2.2%abandoned
BTTSBTTS yes 56.0%no lineabandoned
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson35.0%30.2%34.8%
xgboost37.5%30.6%31.9%
logistic34.4%27.3%38.3%
Inputs the models saw
VallecanoAthletic Club
Elo (pre-match)16541609
Surface Elo16541609
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.401.60
Form trend-0.200.00
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days2120
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W7 W · 2 D
Vallecano: last 5
19 SepALeganes1 - 4L
19 SepAOsasuna1 - 1D
15 SepHEspanol2 - 1W
12 SepAReal Madrid1 - 4L
05 SepHSantander3 - 2W
Athletic Club: last 5
04 OctHExtremadura UD1 - 3L
02 OctASociedad1 - 0W
26 SepAArenas Club Getxo3 - 0W
20 SepHRC Deportivo Fabril2 - 2D
19 SepHAlaves0 - 0D
Head to head
28 Feb 2026Vallecano1 - 1Athletic Club
25 Aug 2025Athletic Club1 - 0Vallecano
13 Apr 2025Athletic Club3 - 1Vallecano
01 Dec 2024Vallecano1 - 2Athletic Club
25 May 2024Vallecano0 - 1Athletic Club
02 Dec 2023Athletic Club4 - 0Vallecano
05 Mar 2023Vallecano0 - 0Athletic Club
17 Sep 2022Athletic Club3 - 2Vallecano
23 Jan 2022Vallecano0 - 1Athletic Club
21 Sep 2021Athletic Club1 - 2Vallecano
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.6737.5%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4828.7%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.7935.8%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8952.9%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9551.3%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:20 UTC