| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.9% | 61% | -7.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 45.6% | 54.4% |
| logistic | 45.1% | 54.9% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Benjamin Willwerth | Duncan Chan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1439 | 1499 |
| Surface Elo | 1439 | 1499 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 3 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | A | Jack Secord | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Zamora, N | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Car, Hugo | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Aidan Mayo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Young, Gavin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Roger Pascual Ferra | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Colton Smith | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Hance, Keaton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Colton Smith | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.63 | 61.4% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |