| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.8% | 60% | -2.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 84.0% | 84% | -0.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 77.9% | 78% | -0.3% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.9% | 65% | +0.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 63.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 62.2% | 21.3% | 16.5% |
| xgboost | 58.2% | 23.3% | 18.5% |
| logistic | 61.8% | 24.4% | 13.8% |
| Utrecht | Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1624 | 1457 |
| Surface Elo | 1624 | 1457 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.22 | 0.78 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.78 | 1.11 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.89 | 2.44 |
| Rest days | 5 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 1 W · 5 D |
| 23 Oct | A | Volendam | 2 - 6 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Roda JC Kerkrade | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Twente | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Twente | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Willem II | 3 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Go Ahead Eagles | 4 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Go Ahead Eagles | 4 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Cambuur | 0 - 1 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Cambuur | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 Sep | A | Groningen | 0 - 3 | L |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Utrecht | 1 - 1 | Zwolle |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Zwolle | 0 - 2 | Utrecht |
| 01 Feb 2025 | Zwolle | 3 - 3 | Utrecht |
| 11 Aug 2024 | Utrecht | 1 - 0 | Zwolle |
| 03 Apr 2024 | Utrecht | 5 - 1 | Zwolle |
| 27 Aug 2023 | Zwolle | 1 - 0 | Utrecht |
| 07 May 2022 | Zwolle | 1 - 1 | Utrecht |
| 25 Sep 2021 | Utrecht | 5 - 1 | Zwolle |
| 30 Jan 2021 | Utrecht | 3 - 3 | Zwolle |
| 21 Nov 2020 | Zwolle | 1 - 1 | Utrecht |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 5.50 | 18.2% | 24 Oct 15:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 24 Oct 15:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 24 Oct 15:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.53 | 65.4% | 24 Oct 15:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 24 Oct 15:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.92 | 20.3% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.27 | 23.4% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.69 | 59.2% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.60 | 62.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 24 Oct 06:15 |